Actis is an emerging markets investor with US$5.2 billion funds under
management. Through the expertise of over 120 investment professionals
on the ground in twelve countries, Actis identifies investment
opportunities in three areas: private equity, infrastructure and real
estate. Daily News spoke to Actis’s Director in Egypt about the current
business environment in Egypt, the challenges as well as the solutions
to reposition Egypt as an attractive investment destination.
Please tell us more about Actis?
Actis is a pan-emerging markets private equity investor headquartered
in London. We specialize exclusively in the emerging markets, with a
growing portfolio of investments in Africa, Asia and Latin America. We
have been investing in the emerging markets for over 65 years as part of
CDC [Commonwealth Development Organisation], the UK’s development
finance arm; and since 2004 as Actis after spinning out from CDC.
We invest in private equity, energy and real estate. These are the
three businesses we focus on. Under private equity we focus on some
specific sectors which are the consumer sector, the financial services
sector, as well as the industrial and the health care sectors.
What about the portfolio of the company?
Since our operations in Egypt in 2001, we have invested over $500m
spread across a number of investments. Our first management buy-out was
acquiring El-Rashidi El-Mizan from Unilever in 2002, then we acquired
Sidi Krir power station which was one of the three BOT power plants. In
2007, we invested in Sinai Marbles and Granite, then in Mo’emen, an
independent leading Egyptian food group, in 2008. In 2009, we invested
$244m in CIB; we are currently the largest shareholder of the bank. We
then created a payment processing platform called ‘Emerging Markets
Payments Holding’ (EMPH), which started off by acquiring the
Mediterranean Smart Cards company in Egypt in 2010, which has now grown
to become a multi-country financial service and payment processing
business.
What is Actis current portfolio in Egypt?
Actis is currently invested in CIB, EMPH and Sinai Marble.
Are there any projects for Actis in Egypt in the pipeline?
We continue to be open for more businesses in Egypt despite the
difficult conditions, but this needs to be reflected in very high
quality opportunities.
Our strategy will continue to be the same with the look-out
for market leading, well managed businesses in the consumer sector, the
financial services sector, as well as the industrial and health sectors
in Egypt.
Why do you focus on these sectors in particular?
These are defensive sectors that tend to hold the ground well during
difficult conditions. They are also successful in countries with high
populations like in Egypt. The rise in the middle class in Egypt has
also helped to sustain these sectors, which have continued to do well
despite the challenges in Egypt over the last two years.
Do you think that these sectors could be affected because of the US Dollar exchange rate?
The exchange rate is a problem across the board, but I do think that
the market leaders are well managed and are continuing to do well
despite the difficult situation. That being said, the exchange rate is
an issue that affects all the business sectors. It is one of the biggest
problems in foreign investors’ mindsets today.
What is the impact in your opinion on the downgrade of Egypt and some of the banks’ Long-Term Foreign Currency Rating (FCR)?
The FCR downgrade creates a negative impact on the overall investment
appetite in the country. It can give wrong signals for investors who
are monitoring the Index or seeking general investment opportunities in
Egypt. But for Actis
we are doing very specific asset picking in
target sectors on the back of quality assets that are well managed and
have completed to trade well since the revolution. I think we can still
have attractive investment opportunities for investors looking for
medium to long term outlook.
Evaluate the market, especially after the unrest and turmoil?
The unrest and turmoil are naturally bad, and they give a negative
impression. But we have to separate between this and the underlying
performance of specific companies that have a defensive market
positioning and strong management teams, which have allowed them to
continue to grow well despite the difficult circumstances.
Do you think that the market can get over these challenges soon?
I don’t know, but I sure hope so. I think market recovery needs to
happen very soon, as the economy is severely strained because of the
challenges in reserves, the foreign exchange, the lack of foreign direct
investments, and the growing inflation rates. All these issues should
be addressed sooner than later.
In my point of view, however, Egypt is ‘too big to fail’. I also
believe that the political stability which is the very prerequisite for
any economy to prosper is an essential component. If this is achieved,
the much calmer environment and streets will then trickle down into the
economy.
The biggest enemy to any investor is uncertainty and low visibility;
and both are found in Egypt today. So I think one of the main things the
government has to do is to speak to the target audience with more
clarity and transparency, sending clear messages on key issues, such as
foreign exchange rates. What is going to happen for example for someone
who wants to invest in Egypt today from off shore? Will they be able to
bring dollars into country and convert them into Egyptian pounds to buy
assets? Are they going to be able to exit, buy dollars off shore again,
etc. Lack of transparency leads to lack of credibility and visibility,
and creates a lot of uncertainty which needs to be tackled very quickly.
What do you think about these problems specifically?
All these problems are linked; the budget deficit and energy are very
much linked, for example. The government has no sufficient inflows to
cover their expenditure because they have had very low FDI coming into
the country. That is also because of the low revenues and the increased
expenditure which will lead the budget deficit to cross 11% to 12%,
which is huge. It is also not clear what is going to happen on the tax
front; will there be taxes on capital gains? Will there be any taxes on
IPOs [Initial Public Offering]? Will the income tax increase or not?
This is in addition to the continued hunt for money from businessmen,
thus creating a very negative message for foreign investments in the
country.
Do you think there is any kind of economic identity in the constitution in Egypt?
Without dwelling on political issues,
I believe that the constitution could benefit from a boarder base representation of all Egyptians.
What do you think about the recent acquisition deals in the Egyptian market, like NSGB, Hermes?
EFG Hermes [and QInvest] deal has not gone through yet. The situation
is not clear, and this is directly linked to the lack of visibility in
the regulatory environment. Regarding NSGB [National Société Générale
Bank], this was more motivated by Société Générale France who wants to
exit NSGB due to other priorities rather than a specific view on Egypt. I
think there might be a market misperception that the price is an issue,
but I think there are more details behind that.
Orascom Telecom and OCI (Orascom Construction Industries) are high
profile cases. We don’t know how these are going to end up. Obviously
it’s going to impact the EGX significantly because of Orascom’s volume
on the EGX, but I think that step has been taken because of legitimate
worries about the investment environment in Egypt today.
Are we going to see specific foreign investments from certain countries?
Investors, regardless of their country, are still making investments
as they see good opportunities to gain more profits. If we can deal with
the lack of visibility and transparency, political cohesion, and the
foreign exchange rate, I think we will be surprised about the number of
investors who will invest in Egypt. Egypt is a fundamentally attractive
market that is passing through a difficult stage these days.
Evaluate Egypt among other emerging markets?
Egypt is one of Actis’s target markets where we remain to be
invested despite the current challenges, and we do hope to see great
improvements in all aspects of the economy and the regulatory system
soon.
What about your investments in Africa?
Africa is our largest market with total investments of $1.5bn. We
have been ranked as the best private equity fund manager in Africa
because of our dedication to the region. There are other promising
markets in Africa such as South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya; while in
North Africa there is also Tunisia and Morocco.